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What is volatility?

Volatility is a very important concept in finance, in particular because it is used to quantify the prices of options


It is important to differentiate two main but totally different concepts:

  • The historical volatility of an underlying asset (for example, the S&P 500 index)

  • The implied volatility, also called implicit volatility, of an underlying asset (for example, the S&P 500 index)

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These two main concepts are one of the basis of The Volatility Hedge strategy

To know more about volatility

The historical volatility is a statistical calculation of dispersion of historical actual data of the S&P 500 index


This measure is calculated by determining the average deviation from the average price of a financial instrument in the given time period

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The principle of this calculation is to take into account the values of S&P 500 index, and to calculate the standard deviation of the average of the day-to-day change

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Several historical volatilities exist, depending on the past time horizon which is considered

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The implied volatility is an estimate of future volatility of to-be values (for example the S&P 500 index)


This estimate is based on the prices of options, and is calculated by comparing real prices of options to theoretical prices

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The principle of this estimate is based on the general theory of valuation of options, which links implicit volatility to the price of options

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Several implicit volatilities exist, depending on the future time horizon which is considered

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The graph shows the values of S&P 500 implicit and historical volatilities during years 2011 to 2014:

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​​​​​​​​​​​The implicit volatility refers to the VIX (c) Index calculated and provided by the CBOE

​More information and detailed materials are available on CBOE website, about that main concept of volatility

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